Coface Group

Economic Studies

The british recovery : miracle or mirage
The british recovery : miracle or mirage

This panorama first contains a study on the strength of the British recovery. Thanks to vigorous growth since the second quarter of 2012, we anticipate the UK economy to get back to its pre-crisis level in the third quarter of 2014.
A positive short term economic context, like dynamic corporate investment, supported by the flexible monetary policy of the Central Bank, led us to upgrade our risk assessment for the UK to A2...
 

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The british recovery : miracle or mirage

Last changes on country risk assessments

Country Previous assessment New assessment
Belgium A3 A3 Under positive watch list
Cambodia D D Under positive watch list
Ghana B Under negative watch list C
Lebanon C C Under negative watch list
Netherlands A3 A3 Under positive watch list

160 country evaluations, drawn up on the basis of macroeconomic, financial and political data, are made freely available.
Regularly updated, they provide an estimate of the average credit risk on a country’s businesses. This is an invaluable tool, giving an indication of a country’s potential influence on businesses’ financial commitments.
 
Our evaluations are based on:
- our macroeconomic expertise in assessing country risk,
- our contextual business expertise,
- our microeconomic expertise built up over 60 years of payment experience.
 
Our analyses use a seven-level ranking. In ascending order of risk, these are: A1, A2, A3, A4, B, C and D.

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Last changes on country risk assessments

Countries under negative watch list
Countries under positive watch list
Country Previous assessment New assessment
Belgium A3 A3
Cambodia D D
Ghana B C
Lebanon C C
Netherlands A3 A3
Russian Federation B C
Sierra Leone C C
Spain B A4
Turkey A4 B
Venezuela C D

Economic publications

ECONOMIC KNOWLEDGE IN CONCENTRATED FORM

Coface’s “Panorama” publications aim to help businesses evaluate and guard against risks and make their decisions based on the most relevant, reliable and recent information.
 
Capitalising on the expertise of our economists, underwriters and specialists in business information and debt recovery, these publications have a dual objective: 
 
- provide the reader with regular statistical monitoring by means of a quarterly indicator;
- offer content for reflection and analysis by focusing on a particular theme.

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