Coface results for Q1-2017: Net income at €7.3m driven by an improvement in net loss ratio. Fit to Win progressing as planned.
- Turnover reaches €348.3m down (2.2)% at constant FX and perimeter*
- Mature markets stable
- North America declining given the non-repeat of large deals signed in ‘16
- Emerging markets are still impacted by the effect of risk action plans
- Net loss ratio at 58.2%, net combined ratio at 92.0%
- Gross loss ratio improved 4ppts. at 57.8% (vs 61.8% in Q4-16) driven by improvement in North America and Asia
- Net loss ratio improved by 9.7ppts. vs. Q4-16 also reflecting increased recourse to reinsurance
- Net cost ratio at 33.9%
- Net income €7.3m
- Fit to Win is progressing as planned
- Roll out of risk action plan complete
- Reached €2.0m cost savings year-to-date, in line with €10m objective for the year
- Reminder of 2017 guidance: net loss ratio below 61% for the full year
Unless otherwise stated, changes are in comparison with 3M-2016
*Constant perimeter = excluding State Export Guarantees Management (€12.0m revenues in Q1-2016)
Coface ceded this activity as from 1 January 2017 ; 2016 figures impacted by this activity have been restated so as to be comparable to 2017
Xavier Durand, CEO of Coface, commented:
“In a global economic environment where political risks remain high, the first quarter of 2017 continues to show the positive impacts of the Fit to Win plan: the actions taken to strengthen our risk infrastructure are now complete and starting to bear fruit. In Q1-17 we delivered a net profit of €7.3m thanks to a reduction in our loss ratio, in line with our guidance. The cost reductions are in line with expectations and we are making significant progress in the implementation of the operational efficiency programme, with additional impacts expected later in 2017. Turnover is still down but mature markets are now stabilizing, in part due to a good level of client activity and client retention.
2017 is a transition year, where we remain focused on the execution of our plan.”
Key figures as at March 31st 2017
The Board of Directors of Coface SA examined the summary consolidated financial statements for the first three months during its meeting on 26 April 2017. They were subject to review by the Audit Committee.
Coface registered a turnover of €348.3m for Q1-2017, down (1.3)% against Q1-2016 and (2.2)% ex. FX, all figures adjusted for the transfer of the French State export guarantee management which took place at the end of ‘16. This activity had no impact on the turnover in Q1-2017.
In Q1-2017 premiums have benefited from a pick-up in Coface’s clients activity at +1.3%, a rebound that is seen in almost all markets. This was offset by a negative (1.4)% pricing impact (though improving from last year) as mature markets continue to see significant competitive pressure. Latin America continues to see a positive re-pricing.
In North America turnover is down by (11.3%) and (14.8%) at constant FX as Q1-2016 had benefited from several large deals that were not repeated this quarter.
In Central Europe, turnover was up 3.2% and 0.9% ex. FX, driven by continued good sales dynamism.
In the Mediterranean & Africa region, premiums grew by 2.6% ex. FX thanks to a continued good commercial momentum in the region.
Emerging markets had very different performances with Latin America growing at 14.4% (and 7.5% at constant FX) as the portfolio is benefiting from past price increases, whereas the impact of the risk action plans can be seen in Asia, where turnover is down by (13.0)% and (16.8)% ex. FX.
New business production, at €39m, is down vs. Q1-2016. However, mature markets are at the same level as last year, the decline being driven by the risk action plans in emerging markets. Coface’s client retention rate remains at a satisfactory 92.5%.
– Combined ratio
The Group’s net combined ratio stood at 92.0% for Q1-2017.
(i) Loss ratio
Gross loss ratio in Q1-17 stands at 57.8%, improving by 4ppts vs Q4-16. Compared to the gross loss ratio of FY‑2016 (63.3%), the decline in loss ratio was mostly driven by North America, Asia and, to a lesser extend Latin America. The loss ratio in Asia is still at a high level though improving (128.5% vs. 146.8% for FY-16).
The impact of the measures taken in 2015 and 2016 to reduce our risk exposures starts to materialize.
The Group’s loss ratio after reinsurance was down (9.7) ppts. in Q1-2017, at 58.2% against 67.9% in Q4-2016. It has benefited from the decrease in gross loss ratio as well as the impact of the higher cession rate to reinsurers. It has also benefited from FX effect (for 2.1ppts.). Adjusted for this gain, the loss ratio would have been 60.3%.
Coface reminds its guidance of a net loss ratio below 61% for the full year 2017.
(ii) Cost ratio
Coface continues to keep a good control on expenses.Fit to Winexpense reductions reached €2.0m, in line with the annual target of €10m cost savings.
The Group’s cost ratio after reinsurance stood at 33.9% for Q1-2017.
– Financial income
Coface has maintained its prudent investment strategy and in particular took some additional protections ahead of key election in France. Excluding gains, revenues from the portfolio were flat at €9.8m, despite the continuous low rates environment.
Net investment income reached €5.6m for the quarter, a sharp decline vs. Q1-2016 due to negative impact from FX variations, partially offsetting the FX gain seen on the loss ratio.
The accounting yield, excluding capital gains, was 0.4% for Q1-2017, at the same level as in Q1-2016
– Operating income and net income
Operating income stood at €19.2m at 31 March 2017, including €(0.6)m of investment and restructuring expenses related to Fit to Win.
Net income (group share) stood at €7.3m. Coface continued to suffer from a high tax rate of 52% due to the uneven profitability level between the various regions.
At 31 March 2017, IFRS equity (group share) was €1,770.4m (up 0.9% vs FY-2016). The change in equity during the quarter is mainly the result of positive net income of €7.3m and a positive impact from FX movements for €5.9m.
Coface is totally focused on the execution ofFit to Winand the impacts of the initiatives we have now started to implement are expected to materialise gradually.
In 2017, our priority remains to execute our strategic plan while monitoring closely the development of the risk landscape. We remind that, in line with the first signs of improvement observed at this stage, we anticipate a net loss ratio below 61% in 2017. We expect to begin to benefit from the Fit to Win operational efficiency measures already taken and have planned to achieve €10m costs savings in 2017, while investments and restructuring charges for the year should amount to €21m.
Conference call with financial analysts
A conference call to discuss Coface Q1-2017 results with financial analysts will be held on 26 April 2017 at 6.00 pm Paris time. Dial in numbers: +33(0)1 70 77 09 46 (France), +44 (0)20 3043 2439 (UK), +1 646 722 49 08 (US).
The presentation will be available at the following address: http://www.coface.com/Investors/Financial-reporting
 Accounting profitability ratio calculated on average investment portfolio
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