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Economic publications

  • #Economic publications

    Economic outlook: What to expect in 2026

    Jean-Christophe Caffet, Group Chief Economist at Coface, shared his insights on the key learnings from 2025 and the outlook for 2026 at the latest Coface Country Risk Conference on February 17.

  • #Economic publications

    US: ‘reciprocal tariffs’ go away, uncertainty stays

    On 20 February, the US Supreme Court invalidated the ‘reciprocal tariffs’ imposed by the Trump administration. This is a major legal setback, but it does not change the overall trade policy landscape. The United States continues to maintain historically high tariffs, and the environment remains unstable for businesses.

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    Middle East escalation: Energy at the center, risks far beyond

    The military escalation between the United States, Israel and Iran is putting extreme pressure on energy markets. Although no major supply disruptions have been reported yet, the risks surrounding the Strait of Hormuz pose a threat to the global economy if the conflict continues.

  • #Economic publications

    How far will power struggles go?

    Geopolitical tensions are intensifying: what are the consequences for globalisation and economic stability? At the Coface Country Risk Conference on February 17, four experts share their analyses of these geostrategic rivalries that are impacting global trade.

  • Risk Dashboard

    Navigate uncertainty with Coface's global risk assessments for +160 countries and 13 sectors. 

  • #Economic publications

    Risk Review: 2026, a moment of truth for the global economy?

    Momentum for the global economy has been varied moving into 2026. We expect growth of +2.6% this year – a very minor downtick on +2.8% in 2025 – despite an international environment marked by persistent geopolitical, financial and social risks.

  • #Economic publications

    After twenty years of deadlock, the EU and India reach a landmark agreement

    After nearly twenty years of stop-start negotiations, the EU and India have finalized one of the most ambitious free trade agreements (FTAs) of the last decade, opening up their markets while protecting sensitive sectors. The benefits are expected to be gradual, but already offer tangible prospects for goods, services, and investments on both sides.

  • #Economic publications

    Tin is riding high on the metals market’s latest surge

    A key metal in the electronics industry — solder alone accounts for 50% of global demand — tin is benefiting greatly from energy and digital transitions. However, supply growth remains limited, particularly in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Myanmar, which is expected to lead to a supply deficit as early as 2026, the first since 2021.

  • Risk Dashboard

    Navigate uncertainty with Coface's global risk assessments for +160 countries and 13 sectors. 

  • Coface Podcast

    Dive into the world of global trade with Coface's Trade Talk podcast. Explore captivating discussions with trade experts, explore market dynamics, and uncover strategies for growth. 

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